Primera B Metropolitana · Argentina · Estadio Juan Carlos BrievaArgentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Fair pick · fair odds 2.00 · bookmaker 2.15 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Argentino de Merlo 0.9 – 1.1 Arsenal Sarandi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Arsenal Sarandi shade it despite being away from home – 44% to win, against 31% for Argentino de Merlo.
Argentino de Merlo have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. Arsenal Sarandi have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
We expect around 2.0 goals (0.9 for Argentino de Merlo, 1.1 for Arsenal Sarandi). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely. Most likely scores: 0–1 (15%), 1–1 (13%), 0–0 (13%).
In their last 1 meeting, Argentino de Merlo have won 0, Arsenal Sarandi have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 50% chance – the bookmaker price of 2.15 is better than our fair price of 2.00, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Arsenal Sarandi to win ✗ | 44% | 2.29 | 2.25 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✗ | 75% | 1.33 | 1.36 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 50% | 2.00 | 2.15 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 50% | 2.02 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Arsenal Sarandi / FT Arsenal Sarandi ✗ | 23% | 4.32 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 0–1 ✗ | 15% | 6.68 | – |
Form
Argentino de Merlo – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Ituzaingó | 1–1 | D |
| 8 Aug | @ Talleres Remedios | 2–1 | W |
| 1 Aug | vs Deportivo Laferrere | 1–3 | L |
| 25 Jul | @ Brown DE Adrogue | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Jul | vs Deportivo Armenio | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Jul | @ Flandria | 0–1 | L |
Arsenal Sarandi – last 6
| 15 Aug | vs Talleres Remedios | 0–1 | L |
| 9 Aug | @ Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | D |
| 31 Jul | vs Brown DE Adrogue | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Jul | @ Deportivo Armenio | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jul | vs Flandria | 1–0 | W |
| 14 Jul | @ Argentino Quilmes | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 10 Apr 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi v Argentino de Merlo | 3–0 |
Primera B Metropolitana table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excursionistas | 42 | +36 | 81 |
| 2 |  Arsenal Sarandi | 42 | +28 | 77 |
| 3 |  Sportivo Italiano | 42 | +15 | 72 |
| 4 |  Talleres Remedios | 42 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Camioneros | 42 | +15 | 70 |
| 6 |  Villa Dalmine | 42 | +12 | 68 |
| 7 |  Real Pilar | 42 | +4 | 66 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Armenio | 42 | +3 | 63 |
| 9 |  Comunicaciones | 42 | +5 | 60 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Laferrere | 42 | -2 | 59 |
| 11 |  Villa San Carlos | 42 | -5 | 51 |
| 12 |  San Martín Burzaco | 42 | -6 | 51 |
| 13 |  Argentino de Merlo | 42 | -6 | 50 |
| 14 |  Flandria | 42 | -10 | 49 |
| 15 |  Deportivo Merlo | 42 | -15 | 49 |
| 16 |  Liniers | 42 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 |  Argentino Quilmes | 42 | -8 | 47 |
| 18 |  Dock Sud | 42 | -9 | 47 |
| 19 |  Defensores Unidos | 42 | -6 | 46 |
| 20 |  Brown DE Adrogue | 42 | -12 | 46 |
| 21 |  UAI Urquiza | 42 | -10 | 45 |
| 22 |  Ituzaingó | 42 | -41 | 17 |
More Primera B Metropolitana predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.15.
Who will win Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
On our numbers Argentino de Merlo have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Arsenal Sarandi 44%.
How many goals will there be in Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
When is Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi?
Argentino de Merlo vs Arsenal Sarandi (Primera B Metropolitana) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Carlos Brieva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.