Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultXelajú to win ✗58% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.79
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Xelajú take on Antigua GFC on Sunday 15 March, kicking off at 04:00 (WAT) at Estadio Mario Camposeco. Xelajú are 1st with 39 points from 22 games (top of the table), while Antigua GFC sit 5th on 34 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Xelajú's last 5: DDWDW Most recently they drew with Aurora 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antigua GFC's last 5: DWDWL Most recently they drew with Cobán Imperial 2–2 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Xelajú and 0.9 for Antigua GFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 55% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Xelajú to win – a 58% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.73, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Xelajú 1–0 Antigua GFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Xelajú58%fair 1.73 · @1.83
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.10
Antigua GFC22%fair 4.58 · @4.20
2.57Expected goals
1.68Xelajú xG
0.89Antigua GFC xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: Xelajú 1.7 – 0.9 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Xelajú to win✗
58%
1.73
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
80%
1.26
1.33 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Xelajú / FT Xelajú✗
34%
2.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.79
–
Form
Xelajú – last 6
DDWDWL
8 Mar
@ Aurora
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Cobán Imperial
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs Mictlán
2–0
W
25 Feb
@ Achuapa
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Malacateco
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Antigua GFC – last 6
DWDWLW
9 Mar
vs Cobán Imperial
2–2
D
5 Mar
vs Achuapa
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Malacateco
2–2
D
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xelajú and Antigua GFC.
Our pick is Xelajú to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Xelajú have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Antigua GFC 22%.
How many goals will there be in Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Xelajú 1–0 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Xelajú vs Antigua GFC?
Xelajú vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Camposeco.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
