Liga Nacional · GuatemalaGuastatoya vs Mictlán prediction & analysis
Guastatoya to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Guastatoya 1.7 – 0.6 Mictlán expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Guastatoya are clear favourites at home with a 65% chance of winning, against 12% for Mictlán.
Guastatoya have taken 5 points from their last 5 matches (1W 2D 2L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Mictlán have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Guastatoya, 0.6 for Mictlán). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (15%), 0–0 (10%).
Our pick is Guastatoya to win at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.60 is better than our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Guastatoya to win ✓ | 65% | 1.53 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | Guastatoya or draw ✓ | 88% | 1.13 | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 51% | 1.96 | 2.05 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.50 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 60% | 1.67 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Half-time result | Guastatoya ahead at half-time ✓ | 45% | 2.23 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Guastatoya / FT Guastatoya ✓ | 41% | 2.44 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 17% | 5.74 | – |
Form
Guastatoya – last 5
| 5 Mar | @ Marquense | 2–2 | D |
| 25 Feb | @ Antigua GFC | 0–2 | L |
| 22 Feb | vs Cobán Imperial | 2–0 | W |
| 17 Feb | @ Achuapa | 0–1 | L |
| 15 Feb | vs Malacateco | 1–1 | D |
Mictlán – last 6
| 11 Mar | vs Aurora | 2–0 | W |
| 2 Mar | @ Xelajú | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | @ Mixco | 2–2 | D |
| 22 Feb | vs Marquense | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Feb | @ Comunicaciones | 1–2 | L |
| 15 Feb | vs Antigua GFC | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guastatoya and Mictlán.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
Our pick is Guastatoya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
On our numbers Guastatoya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Mictlán 12%.
How many goals will there be in Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Guastatoya vs Mictlán?
Guastatoya vs Mictlán (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.