Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Winston PinedaAchuapa vs Marquense prediction & analysis
Achuapa to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.80
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Achuapa 1.7 – 0.6 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Achuapa are clear favourites at home with a 64% chance of winning, against 13% for Marquense.
Achuapa have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (1W 3D 2L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.2 per game. Marquense have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.3 goals (1.7 for Achuapa, 0.6 for Marquense). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 43%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (17%), 2–0 (14%), 1–1 (10%).
Our pick is Achuapa to win at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.80 is better than our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Achuapa to win | 64% | 1.56 | 1.80 ▲ |
| Double chance | Achuapa or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score | 57% | 1.75 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 67% | 1.48 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals | 59% | 1.71 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 79% | 1.26 | – |
| Half-time result | Achuapa ahead at half-time | 44% | 2.26 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Achuapa / FT Achuapa | 40% | 2.50 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 17% | 5.96 | – |
Form
Achuapa – last 6
| 9 Mar | @ Comunicaciones | 0–4 | L |
| 5 Mar | @ Antigua GFC | 0–1 | L |
| 25 Feb | vs Xelajú | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | @ Malacateco | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Feb | vs Guastatoya | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Feb | @ Municipal | 1–1 | D |
Marquense – last 6
| 8 Mar | vs Malacateco | 1–0 | W |
| 5 Mar | vs Guastatoya | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Mar | @ Municipal | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Feb | vs Aurora | 0–0 | D |
| 22 Feb | @ Mictlán | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Feb | vs Mixco | 2–1 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Marquense.
Liga Nacional table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Xelajú | 22 | +15 | 39 |
| 2 |  Municipal | 22 | +11 | 38 |
| 3 |  Mixco | 22 | +4 | 36 |
| 4 |  Comunicaciones | 22 | +2 | 35 |
| 5 |  Antigua GFC | 22 | +5 | 34 |
| 6 |  Cobán Imperial | 22 | +7 | 32 |
| 7 |  Guastatoya | 22 | +8 | 31 |
| 8 |  Marquense | 22 | -4 | 30 |
| 9 |  Mictlán | 22 | -11 | 27 |
| 10 |  Malacateco | 22 | -6 | 22 |
| 11 |  Aurora | 22 | -16 | 20 |
| 12 |  Achuapa | 22 | -15 | 19 |
More Liga Nacional predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Achuapa vs Marquense?
Our pick is Achuapa to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Achuapa vs Marquense?
On our numbers Achuapa have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Marquense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Achuapa vs Marquense?
Achuapa vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 15 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.