Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMunicipal to win ✓69% · @1.20
Double chanceMunicipal or draw ✓88% · @1.01
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗13% · fair 7.42
Municipal vs Marquense preview and prediction
The match
Municipal host Marquense in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera. Municipal are 2nd with 38 points from 22 games (in the top four), while Marquense sit 8th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Municipal's last 4: LWDD Most recently they lost to Comunicaciones 0–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Marquense's last 4: DLWL Most recently they drew with Aurora 0–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 2.0 for Municipal and 0.7 for Marquense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Municipal 69%, draw 19%, Marquense 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Municipal 2–0 Marquense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Municipal69%fair 1.46 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @5.50
Marquense12%fair 8.21 · @12.00
2.71Expected goals
2.01Municipal xG
0.70Marquense xG
51%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
1–013%
2–19%
1–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Municipal 2.0 – 0.7 Marquense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Municipal to win✓
69%
1.46
1.20
Double chance
Municipal or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.01
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.96
2.25 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.48
Half-time result
Municipal ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Municipal / FT Municipal✗
44%
2.26
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
13%
7.42
–
Form
Municipal – last 4
LWDD
26 Feb
@ Comunicaciones
0–1
L
22 Feb
vs Antigua GFC
4–2
W
18 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Marquense – last 4
DLWL
26 Feb
vs Aurora
0–0
D
22 Feb
@ Mictlán
1–2
L
20 Feb
vs Mixco
2–1
W
16 Feb
@ Xelajú
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Municipal and Marquense.
What is the prediction for Municipal vs Marquense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Municipal vs Marquense?
On our numbers Municipal have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Marquense 12%.
How many goals will there be in Municipal vs Marquense?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Municipal vs Marquense?
Our predicted score is Municipal 2–0 Marquense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Municipal vs Marquense?
Municipal vs Marquense (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Felipe Carrera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
