Value bet: Antigua GFC to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultMalacateco to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.05
Malacateco vs Antigua GFC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga Nacional sees Malacateco take on Antigua GFC on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 03:00 (WAT). Malacateco are 10th with 22 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Antigua GFC sit 5th on 34 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Malacateco's last 4: LDWD Most recently they lost to Cobán Imperial 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Antigua GFC's last 4: WLWD Most recently they beat Guastatoya 2–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Antigua GFC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Malacateco and 1.2 for Antigua GFC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Antigua GFC to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Malacateco 1–1 Antigua GFC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Malacateco40%fair 2.48 · @2.20
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.00
Antigua GFC34%fair 2.91 · @3.30
2.46Expected goals
1.29Malacateco xG
1.17Antigua GFC xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Malacateco 1.3 – 1.2 Antigua GFC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Malacateco to win✗
40%
2.48
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.34
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.77
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Malacateco / FT Malacateco✗
23%
4.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.05
–
Form
Malacateco – last 4
LDWD
24 Feb
@ Cobán Imperial
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Achuapa
1–1
D
19 Feb
vs Xelajú
1–0
W
15 Feb
@ Guastatoya
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Antigua GFC – last 4
WLWD
25 Feb
vs Guastatoya
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Municipal
2–4
L
19 Feb
vs Aurora
2–0
W
15 Feb
@ Mictlán
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Malacateco and Antigua GFC.
What is the prediction for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
On our numbers Malacateco have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Antigua GFC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Our predicted score is Malacateco 1–1 Antigua GFC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?
Malacateco vs Antigua GFC (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
