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Liga Nacional · Guatemala · Estadio Winston Pineda
Sun 1 Mar 2026

Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial prediction & analysis

79%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.20

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultAchuapa to win40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score55% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012% · fair 8.37

Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial preview and prediction

The match

Cobán Imperial travel to Estadio Winston Pineda in the Liga Nacional on Sunday 1 March (22:00 WAT) to face Achuapa. Achuapa are 12th with 19 points from 22 games (in the bottom three), while Cobán Imperial sit 6th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.

Form guide

Achuapa's last 4: DDWD Most recently they drew with Xelajú 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Cobán Imperial's last 4: WLDL Most recently they beat Malacateco 2–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Achuapa arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Achuapa and 1.1 for Cobán Imperial. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Achuapa 1–1 Cobán Imperial. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Achuapa40%fair 2.50 · @2.30
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @3.00
Cobán Imperial35%fair 2.88 · @3.00
2.32Expected goals
1.21Achuapa xG
1.10Cobán Imperial xG
55%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–27%

From our goals model: Achuapa 1.2 – 1.1 Cobán Imperial expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAchuapa to win40%2.502.30
Double chanceEither team to win75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score55%1.801.85
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals66%1.511.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals58%1.711.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals79%1.271.20
Half-time resultLevel at half-time46%2.17–
Half-time / full-timeHT Achuapa / FT Achuapa22%4.54–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–012%8.37–

Form

Achuapa – last 4

DDWD
25 Febvs Xelajú0–0D
21 Feb@ Malacateco1–1D
17 Febvs Guastatoya1–0W
15 Feb@ Municipal1–1D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Cobán Imperial – last 4

WLDL
24 Febvs Malacateco2–0W
22 Feb@ Guastatoya0–2L
18 Febvs Municipal0–0D
15 Feb@ Aurora0–1L
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Achuapa and Cobán Imperial.

Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial head-to-head page →

Liga Nacional table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Xelajú221165+1539
2Municipal221156+1138
3Mixco221066+436
4Comunicaciones221129+235
5Antigua GFC22976+534
6Cobán Imperial22886+732
7Guastatoya22877+831
8Marquense229310-430
9Mictlán22769-1127
10Malacateco226412-622
11Aurora224810-1620
12Achuapa225413-1519

More Liga Nacional predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?

On our numbers Achuapa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cobán Imperial 35%.

How many goals will there be in Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?

Our predicted score is Achuapa 1–1 Cobán Imperial, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial?

Achuapa vs Cobán Imperial (Liga Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Winston Pineda.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.