San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
San Martin Tucuman to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗64% · @1.62
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✓87% · @1.07
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes preview and prediction
The match
San Martin Tucuman host Club Atlético Güemes in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 30 August, with kick-off at 22:30 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 20 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: WDDLL Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 2–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: DDDLL Most recently they drew with Atletico DE Rafaela 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
San Martin Tucuman arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.6 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.5 for Club Atlético Güemes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 64%, draw 24%, Club Atlético Güemes 13%.
Both teams to score: no (56%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was San Martin Tucuman to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.57, so there is value in it. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.22 · @3.25
Club Atlético Güemes13%fair 7.82 · @5.80
2.15Expected goals
1.60San Martin Tucuman xG
0.55Club Atlético Güemes xG
44%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.6 – 0.5 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.07
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
39%
2.57
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
WDDLLD
23 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
2–1
W
16 Aug
vs Deportivo Madryn
2–2
D
9 Aug
vs San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
25 Jul
vs Temperley
1–2
L
17 Jul
@ Deportivo Maipu
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
DDDLLL
24 Aug
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
19 Aug
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
15 Aug
@ Atletico Mitre
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Agropecuario
0–3
L
3 Aug
vs Tristan Suarez
1–3
L
26 Jul
@ Gimnasia Jujuy
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is San Martin Tucuman to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Club Atlético Güemes 13%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes?
San Martin Tucuman vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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