Value bet: Deportivo Madryn to win @ 3.55 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmirante Brown to win ✓38% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.35
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓69% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.01
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Madryn travel to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 30 August (19:00 WAT) to face Almirante Brown. Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Madryn sit 4th on 60 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Almirante Brown's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Defensores De Belgrano 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.5 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Madryn's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Godoy Cruz 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.3 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Madryn arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Almirante Brown and 0.9 for Deportivo Madryn. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 69% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almirante Brown 38%, draw 27%, Deportivo Madryn 35%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Deportivo Madryn to win at 3.55 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 69% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Almirante Brown 0–0 Deportivo Madryn. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almirante Brown38%fair 2.66 · @2.20
Draw27%fair 3.69 · @2.70
Deportivo Madryn35%fair 2.83 · @3.55
1.94Expected goals
0.99Almirante Brown xG
0.95Deportivo Madryn xG
47%Both score
31%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–014%
1–014%
0–114%
1–114%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 1.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Madryn expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almirante Brown to win✓
38%
2.66
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.35
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.01
–
Form
Almirante Brown – last 6
WLWWDD
22 Aug
@ Defensores De Belgrano
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Tristan Suarez
1–3
L
8 Aug
vs Ciudad de Bolívar
2–0
W
2 Aug
vs Racing Cordoba
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Atletico Mitre
0–0
D
17 Jul
vs CA Estudiantes
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Deportivo Madryn – last 6
WWDWWD
25 Aug
vs Godoy Cruz
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Atletico Mitre
4–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martin Tucuman
2–2
D
8 Aug
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
2 Aug
vs All Boys
2–0
W
26 Jul
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Deportivo Madryn.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Deportivo Madryn 35%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 31% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Deportivo Madryn, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn?
Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Madryn (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlanta0
San Martin S.J.1
Patronato0
Almagro1
San Martin Tucuman1
Club Atlético Güemes1
Quilmes0
Temperley1