Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: San Martin S.J. to win @ 3.45 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlanta to win ✗45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.85
Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Atlanta take on San Martin S.J. on Sunday 30 August, kicking off at 19:30 (WAT). Atlanta are 2nd with 62 points from 36 games (in the top four), while San Martin S.J. sit 9th on 51 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Atlanta's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Patronato 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
San Martin S.J.'s last 5: WDDDL Most recently they beat Gimnasia Y Tiro 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
San Martin S.J. arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 April 2026, finished San Martin S.J. 1–2 Atlanta.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Atlanta and 0.9 for San Martin S.J.. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 66% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlanta 45%, draw 24%, San Martin S.J. 31%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.55.
Value angle: San Martin S.J. to win at 3.45 – 31% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Atlanta 1–0 San Martin S.J.. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlanta45%fair 2.23 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
San Martin S.J.31%fair 3.22 · @3.45
2.09Expected goals
1.18Atlanta xG
0.91San Martin S.J. xG
49%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlanta 1.2 – 0.9 San Martin S.J. expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
On our numbers Atlanta have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and San Martin S.J. 31%.
How many goals will there be in Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
Our predicted score is Atlanta 1–0 San Martin S.J., the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atlanta vs San Martin S.J.?
Atlanta vs San Martin S.J. (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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