Value bet: Atlanta to win @ 3.45 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMidland to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.61
Midland vs Atlanta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Midland take on Atlanta on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 18:30 (WAT) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium. Midland are 5th with 55 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Midland's last 5: LWWWD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Atlanta's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Gimnasia Jujuy 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.0 for Midland and 0.9 for Atlanta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Midland 40%, draw 26%, Atlanta 34%.
Both teams to score: no (52%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Atlanta to win at 3.45 – 34% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Midland 1–0 Atlanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Midland40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.83 · @2.80
Atlanta34%fair 2.96 · @3.45
1.90Expected goals
1.01Midland xG
0.89Atlanta xG
48%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
0–015%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Midland 1.0 – 0.9 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Midland to win✗
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.91
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.61
–
Form
Midland – last 6
LWWWDW
6 Jun
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
31 May
vs San Martin Tucuman
2–0
W
17 May
vs Agropecuario
2–0
W
23 Apr
@ Deportivo Moron
2–1
W
13 Apr
@ Nueva Chicago
2–2
D
9 Apr
vs Acassuso
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
WDWWWL
6 Jun
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
3–0
W
31 May
vs Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
24 May
@ San Martin Tucuman
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Midland and Atlanta.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Midland vs Atlanta?
On our numbers Midland have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Atlanta 34%.
How many goals will there be in Midland vs Atlanta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Midland vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is Midland 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Midland vs Atlanta?
Midland vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Raul Roberto Sabureau Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores De Belgrano0
Colon Santa Fe3
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Deportivo Moron2