Value bet: Colegiales to win @ 2.50 – our chance 42% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultColegiales to win ✓42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman preview and prediction
The match
Colegiales host San Martin Tucuman in the Primera Nacional on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio de Colegiales. Colegiales are 7th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while San Martin Tucuman sit 10th on 47 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Colegiales's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Atletico DE Rafaela 0–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Quilmes 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.7 goals: 0.9 for Colegiales and 0.8 for San Martin Tucuman. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Colegiales 42%, draw 26%, San Martin Tucuman 32%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.50.
Value angle: Colegiales to win at 2.50 – 42% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 54% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Colegiales 0–0 San Martin Tucuman. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Colegiales42%fair 2.36 · @2.50
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @2.62
San Martin Tucuman32%fair 3.13 · @3.20
1.69Expected goals
0.94Colegiales xG
0.75San Martin Tucuman xG
46%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–018%
1–017%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Colegiales 0.9 – 0.8 San Martin Tucuman expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Colegiales to win✓
42%
2.36
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.44 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
50%
1.99
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
54%
1.84
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
26%
3.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.77
–
Form
Colegiales – last 5
LDDWL
6 Jun
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–1
L
30 May
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs San Miguel
0–0
D
23 Feb
vs Atlanta
1–0
W
14 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–2
L
0.4Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
DLLLWW
7 Jun
vs Quilmes
0–0
D
31 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
24 May
vs Atlanta
0–1
L
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Colegiales and San Martin Tucuman.
What is the prediction for Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
On our numbers Colegiales have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 26% and San Martin Tucuman 32%.
How many goals will there be in Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Our predicted score is Colegiales 0–0 San Martin Tucuman, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman?
Colegiales vs San Martin Tucuman (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio de Colegiales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Defensores De Belgrano0
Colon Santa Fe3
Ciudad de Bolívar1
Deportivo Moron2