Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultCiudad de Bolívar to win ✗37% · @2.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.42
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.40
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.48
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Ciudad de Bolívar take on Deportivo Moron on Saturday 13 June, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron. Ciudad de Bolívar are 7th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Ciudad de Bolívar's last 5: DDDDL Most recently they drew with Colon Santa Fe 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Deportivo Moron's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Almirante Brown 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Moron arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Ciudad de Bolívar and 0.9 for Deportivo Moron. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 74% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ciudad de Bolívar 37%, draw 29%, Deportivo Moron 34%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.40.
Value angle: Deportivo Moron to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Deportivo Moron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ciudad de Bolívar37%fair 2.73 · @2.70
Draw29%fair 3.44 · @2.45
Deportivo Moron34%fair 2.91 · @3.10
1.77Expected goals
0.90Ciudad de Bolívar xG
0.86Deportivo Moron xG
46%Both score
26%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–017%
1–015%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ciudad de Bolívar 0.9 – 0.9 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ciudad de Bolívar to win✗
37%
2.73
2.70
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.42
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.87
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
53%
1.88
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
25%
4.02
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.48
–
Form
Ciudad de Bolívar – last 6
DDDDLD
7 Jun
@ Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
31 May
vs San Miguel
1–1
D
27 Mar
vs Agropecuario
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs Los Andes
1–1
D
18 Feb
@ River Plate
0–1
L
14 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Deportivo Moron – last 6
WWWLLW
7 Jun
vs Almirante Brown
1–0
W
31 May
@ Atletico Mitre
3–1
W
24 May
vs CA Estudiantes
2–0
W
19 May
@ All Boys
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Midland
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs San Telmo
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ciudad de Bolívar and Deportivo Moron.
What is the prediction for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers Ciudad de Bolívar have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Moron 34%.
How many goals will there be in Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 26% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is Ciudad de Bolívar 0–0 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron?
Ciudad de Bolívar vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Eva Peron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.