Value bet: Chacarita Juniors to win @ 3.80 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo Maipu to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.57
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Deportivo Maipu take on Chacarita Juniors on Sunday 31 May, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Deportivo Maipu are 6th with 52 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Chacarita Juniors sit 14th on 42 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Deportivo Maipu's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat Nueva Chicago 1–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Chacarita Juniors's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Almagro 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.2 per game.
Deportivo Maipu arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.4 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Deportivo Maipu and 1.0 for Chacarita Juniors. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 63% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Chacarita Juniors to win at 3.80 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.62. Predicted score: Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Chacarita Juniors. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Maipu42%fair 2.39 · @2.10
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.80
Chacarita Juniors34%fair 2.95 · @3.80
2.18Expected goals
1.17Deportivo Maipu xG
1.01Chacarita Juniors xG
49%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Deportivo Maipu 1.2 – 1.0 Chacarita Juniors expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo Maipu to win✓
42%
2.39
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.40 ▲
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.98
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo Maipu / FT Deportivo Maipu✗
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.57
–
Form
Deportivo Maipu – last 5
WDLLW
17 May
vs Nueva Chicago
1–0
W
19 Apr
@ Patronato
0–0
D
29 Mar
vs Godoy Cruz
0–1
L
17 Mar
@ Atlanta
1–3
L
22 Feb
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Chacarita Juniors – last 6
WLDLLL
24 May
vs Almagro
1–0
W
17 May
@ Patronato
0–2
L
5 May
@ Quilmes
0–0
D
21 Apr
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
29 Mar
vs CA Estudiantes
0–3
L
15 Mar
@ Agropecuario
0–2
L
0.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Maipu and Chacarita Juniors.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors?
On our numbers Deportivo Maipu have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Chacarita Juniors 34%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Maipu 1–0 Chacarita Juniors, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors?
Deportivo Maipu vs Chacarita Juniors (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Omar Higinio Sperdutti.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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