Value bet: Club Atlético Güemes to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmagro to win ✓38% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.55
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes preview and prediction
The match
Club Atlético Güemes travel to Estadio Tres de Febrero in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 31 May (19:30 WAT) to face Almagro. Almagro are 15th with 42 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th on 27 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almagro's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Chacarita Juniors 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Club Atlético Güemes's last 5: WDWDL Most recently they beat Patronato 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Almagro and 1.1 for Club Atlético Güemes. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almagro 38%, draw 27%, Club Atlético Güemes 34%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Club Atlético Güemes to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 50% chance at odds of 1.55. Predicted score: Almagro 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almagro38%fair 2.61 · @2.40
Draw27%fair 3.67 · @2.70
Club Atlético Güemes34%fair 2.90 · @3.25
2.25Expected goals
1.16Almagro xG
1.09Club Atlético Güemes xG
50%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Almagro 1.2 – 1.1 Club Atlético Güemes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almagro to win✓
38%
2.61
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almagro / FT Almagro✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Almagro – last 6
LLWDLD
24 May
@ Chacarita Juniors
0–1
L
17 May
vs San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
11 May
@ Nueva Chicago
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ Midland
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–2
L
14 Feb
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Club Atlético Güemes – last 6
WDWDLL
24 May
vs Patronato
1–0
W
20 Apr
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
29 Mar
vs Atletico Mitre
2–2
D
22 Feb
@ San Martin S.J.
1–2
L
15 Feb
vs Nueva Chicago
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almagro and Club Atlético Güemes.
What is the prediction for Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
On our numbers Almagro have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Club Atlético Güemes 34%.
How many goals will there be in Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Our predicted score is Almagro 1–0 Club Atlético Güemes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes?
Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tres de Febrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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