Value bet: Deportivo Moron to win @ 3.10 – our chance 34% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Mitre to win ✗36% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.69
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Moron travel to Estadio Aurinegro in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 31 May (20:00 WAT) to face Atletico Mitre. Atletico Mitre are 13th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Deportivo Moron sit 3rd on 61 points (in the top four). A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Mitre's last 4: DWDW Most recently they drew with Colon Santa Fe 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Deportivo Moron's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat CA Estudiantes 2–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.1 for Atletico Mitre and 1.0 for Deportivo Moron. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 65% likely.
Value angle: Deportivo Moron to win at 3.10 – 34% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Not both teams to score – a 52% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Moron. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Mitre36%fair 2.76 · @2.80
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.45
Deportivo Moron34%fair 2.90 · @3.10
2.11Expected goals
1.07Atletico Mitre xG
1.04Deportivo Moron xG
48%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–113%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 1.1 – 1.0 Deportivo Moron expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Mitre to win✗
36%
2.76
2.80
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.44
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
21%
4.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.69
–
Form
Atletico Mitre – last 4
DWDW
24 May
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
17 May
vs San Miguel
4–0
W
29 Mar
@ Club Atlético Güemes
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Deportivo Moron – last 5
WLLWW
24 May
vs CA Estudiantes
2–0
W
19 May
@ All Boys
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs Midland
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs San Telmo
1–0
W
26 Feb
@ Godoy Cruz
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and Deportivo Moron.
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Moron 34%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?
Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 1–0 Deportivo Moron, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron?
Atletico Mitre vs Deportivo Moron (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 31 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlanta1
Gimnasia Y Tiro1
Almagro2
Club Atlético Güemes0
Midland2
San Martin Tucuman0
Patronato1
Tristan Suarez1
Temperley2
San Martin S.J.1
Deportivo Maipu3
Chacarita Juniors2