Value bet: San Martin Tucuman to win @ 1.90 – our chance 57% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSan Martin Tucuman to win ✗57% · @1.90
Double chanceSan Martin Tucuman or draw ✗81% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 5.11
San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees San Martin Tucuman take on Atlanta on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio La Ciudadela. San Martin Tucuman are 10th with 47 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Atlanta sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
San Martin Tucuman's last 5: LWWDD Most recently they lost to Gimnasia Y Tiro 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Atlanta's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Chacarita Juniors 1–0 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.3 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.6 for Atlanta. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 70% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: San Martin Tucuman 57%, draw 24%, Atlanta 19%.
Both teams to score: no (55%) at 1.45.
Value angle: San Martin Tucuman to win at 1.90 – 57% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 70% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Atlanta. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
San Martin Tucuman57%fair 1.77 · @1.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Atlanta19%fair 5.19 · @4.60
1.90Expected goals
1.31San Martin Tucuman xG
0.59Atlanta xG
45%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–020%
0–015%
2–013%
1–112%
0–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: San Martin Tucuman 1.3 – 0.6 Atlanta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
San Martin Tucuman to win✗
57%
1.77
1.90 ▲
Double chance
San Martin Tucuman or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT San Martin Tucuman / FT San Martin Tucuman✗
32%
3.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
20%
5.11
–
Form
San Martin Tucuman – last 6
LWWDDD
17 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
0–1
L
13 May
vs Gimnasia Jujuy
2–0
W
3 May
vs Atletico DE Rafaela
2–1
W
19 Apr
vs Tristan Suarez
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–1
D
21 Mar
@ San Martin S.J.
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Atlanta – last 6
WWLLWD
21 Apr
vs Chacarita Juniors
1–0
W
14 Apr
@ San Martin S.J.
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Nueva Chicago
1–2
L
2 Apr
@ Instituto Cordoba
0–2
L
17 Mar
vs Deportivo Maipu
3–1
W
3 Mar
vs Patronato
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between San Martin Tucuman and Atlanta.
What is the prediction for San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
On our numbers San Martin Tucuman have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atlanta 19%.
How many goals will there be in San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
Our predicted score is San Martin Tucuman 1–0 Atlanta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta?
San Martin Tucuman vs Atlanta (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Ciudadela.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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