Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.38 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.38Odds
2
Value bet: Quilmes to win @ 3.90 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAgropecuario to win ✗47% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓52% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · @1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.29
Agropecuario vs Quilmes preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Agropecuario take on Quilmes on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig. Agropecuario are 12th with 46 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Quilmes sit 13th on 45 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Agropecuario's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Midland 0–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Quilmes's last 5: LDWWD Most recently they lost to Tristan Suarez 0–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.0 goals: 1.2 for Agropecuario and 0.8 for Quilmes. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 67% likely.
Value angle: Quilmes to win at 3.90 – 29% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 67% chance at odds of 1.38. Predicted score: Agropecuario 1–0 Quilmes. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Agropecuario47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.80
Quilmes29%fair 3.49 · @3.90
2.01Expected goals
1.18Agropecuario xG
0.82Quilmes xG
48%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
0–013%
1–113%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Agropecuario 1.2 – 0.8 Quilmes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Agropecuario to win✗
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.48
1.38
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Agropecuario / FT Agropecuario✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.29
–
Form
Agropecuario – last 6
LWLLDW
17 May
@ Midland
0–2
L
5 May
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
3–2
W
21 Apr
@ Atletico DE Rafaela
1–4
L
31 Mar
@ Union Santa Fe
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Ciudad de Bolívar
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Chacarita Juniors
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Quilmes – last 6
LDWWDL
17 May
vs Tristan Suarez
0–1
L
5 May
vs Chacarita Juniors
0–0
D
29 Mar
@ San Telmo
3–0
W
15 Mar
vs Patronato
3–0
W
22 Feb
vs Midland
0–0
D
16 Feb
@ Atlanta
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Agropecuario and Quilmes.
What is the prediction for Agropecuario vs Quilmes?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.38.
Who will win Agropecuario vs Quilmes?
On our numbers Agropecuario have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Quilmes 29%.
How many goals will there be in Agropecuario vs Quilmes?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Agropecuario vs Quilmes?
Our predicted score is Agropecuario 1–0 Quilmes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Agropecuario vs Quilmes?
Agropecuario vs Quilmes (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Ofelia Rosenzuaig.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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