Double chanceFerro Carril Oeste or draw ✓92% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓60% · @1.38
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓23% · fair 4.26
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Ferro Carril Oeste take on Central Norte on Sunday 24 May, kicking off at 20:00 (WAT) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry. Ferro Carril Oeste are 2nd with 66 points from 36 games (in the top four), while Central Norte sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 28 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ferro Carril Oeste's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Deportivo Madryn 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Central Norte's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Racing Cordoba 2–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.9 goals: 1.6 for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.3 for Central Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 68% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Ferro Carril Oeste 68%, draw 24%, Central Norte 8%.
Both teams to score: no (60%) at 1.38.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Ferro Carril Oeste to win – a 68% chance at odds of 1.53, above our fair price of 1.46, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Central Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ferro Carril Oeste68%fair 1.46 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.20
Central Norte8%fair 12.97 · @7.50
1.89Expected goals
1.56Ferro Carril Oeste xG
0.33Central Norte xG
40%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–023%
2–018%
0–015%
3–09%
1–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Ferro Carril Oeste 1.6 – 0.3 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win✓
68%
1.46
1.53
Double chance
Ferro Carril Oeste or draw✓
92%
1.08
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
60%
1.65
1.38
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.57
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ferro Carril Oeste / FT Ferro Carril Oeste✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
23%
4.26
–
Form
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 5
WWLLD
17 May
@ Deportivo Madryn
1–0
W
11 May
vs Defensores De Belgrano
2–1
W
28 Apr
vs Almirante Brown
0–1
L
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Central Norte – last 4
WWDL
16 May
@ Racing Cordoba
2–1
W
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ San Miguel
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
25%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ferro Carril Oeste and Central Norte.
What is the prediction for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Our pick is Ferro Carril Oeste to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
On our numbers Ferro Carril Oeste have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Central Norte 8%.
How many goals will there be in Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 40% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Our predicted score is Ferro Carril Oeste 1–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte?
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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