Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste prediction & analysis
72%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.38 · bookmaker 1.28
7/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Ferro Carril Oeste to win @ 3.40 – our chance 37% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +26%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultFerro Carril Oeste to win37% · @3.40
Double chanceEither team to win71% · @1.40
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.45
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals72% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–115% · fair 6.60
Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste preview and prediction
The match
The Primera Nacional sees Atletico Mitre take on Ferro Carril Oeste on Sunday 19 April, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at Estadio Aurinegro. Atletico Mitre are 13th with 40 points from 36 games (in the bottom half), while Ferro Carril Oeste sit 2nd on 66 points (in the top four). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.8 goals: 0.9 for Atletico Mitre and 0.9 for Ferro Carril Oeste. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 72% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Ferro Carril Oeste to win at 3.40 – 37% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 72% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Atletico Mitre 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Mitre34%fair 2.90 · @2.40
Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.55
Ferro Carril Oeste37%fair 2.70 · @3.40
1.82Expected goals
0.89Atletico Mitre xG
0.93Ferro Carril Oeste xG
46%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Atletico Mitre 0.9 – 0.9 Ferro Carril Oeste expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ferro Carril Oeste to win
37%
2.70
3.40 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
71%
1.40
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
53%
1.87
1.77
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
72%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
52%
1.91
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
24%
4.14
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
15%
6.60
–
Form
Atletico Mitre – last 2
DW
29 Mar
@ Club Atlético Güemes
2–2
D
23 Feb
vs CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Ferro Carril Oeste – last 2
LD
21 Mar
vs Los Andes
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Colon Santa Fe
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Mitre and Ferro Carril Oeste.
What is the prediction for Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
On our numbers Atletico Mitre have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Ferro Carril Oeste 37%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Our predicted score is Atletico Mitre 0–0 Ferro Carril Oeste, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Atletico Mitre vs Ferro Carril Oeste (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Aurinegro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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