Almirante Brown vs Central Norte prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.28
8/10Rating
1.28Odds
2
Value bet: Central Norte to win @ 3.95 – our chance 37% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +46%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultCentral Norte to win37% · @3.95
Double chanceEither team to win72% · @1.38
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score54% · @1.42
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–117% · fair 6.03
Almirante Brown vs Central Norte preview and prediction
The match
Central Norte travel to Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento in the Primera Nacional on Sunday 19 April (19:30 WAT) to face Almirante Brown. Almirante Brown are 6th with 51 points from 36 games (in the top half), while Central Norte sit 16th on 38 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Almirante Brown's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Defensores De Belgrano 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Central Norte's last 3: WDL Most recently they beat Gimnasia Y Tiro 1–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 1.6 goals: 0.8 for Almirante Brown and 0.8 for Central Norte. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 76% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almirante Brown 35%, draw 28%, Central Norte 37%.
Both teams to score: no (54%) at 1.42.
Value angle: Central Norte to win at 3.95 – 37% on our numbers against 25% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Almirante Brown 0–0 Central Norte. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almirante Brown35%fair 2.82 · @2.15
Draw28%fair 3.62 · @2.60
Central Norte37%fair 2.71 · @3.95
1.57Expected goals
0.77Almirante Brown xG
0.80Central Norte xG
46%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–021%
0–117%
1–016%
1–113%
0–27%
2–06%
From our goals model: Almirante Brown 0.8 – 0.8 Central Norte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Central Norte to win
37%
2.71
3.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
72%
1.38
1.38
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score
54%
1.86
1.42
Over/under 1.5 goals
Under 1.5 goals
51%
1.98
1.95
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.28
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
93%
1.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
56%
1.78
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw
28%
3.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
17%
6.03
–
Form
Almirante Brown – last 5
LLWWD
5 Apr
vs Defensores De Belgrano
0–2
L
14 Mar
@ Racing Cordoba
1–2
L
2 Mar
@ CA Estudiantes
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs All Boys
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Los Andes
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Central Norte – last 3
WDL
29 Mar
@ Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Colon Santa Fe
0–0
D
13 Feb
@ San Miguel
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almirante Brown and Central Norte.
What is the prediction for Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?
On our numbers Almirante Brown have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Central Norte 37%.
How many goals will there be in Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?
Our predicted score is Almirante Brown 0–0 Central Norte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Almirante Brown vs Central Norte?
Almirante Brown vs Central Norte (Primera Nacional) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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