Jezero travel to Stadion Topolica in the First League on Saturday 4 April (18:00 WAT) to face Mornar. Mornar are 3rd with 24 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Jezero sit 8th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Mornar's last 5: WWWDL Most recently they beat Buducnost Podgorica 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jezero's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to Mladost DG 1–3 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Mornar and 0.7 for Jezero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mornar 65%, draw 21%, Jezero 14%.
Safer route: Mornar or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.65, above our fair price of 1.53, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mornar 1–0 Jezero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mornar65%fair 1.53 · @1.65
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Jezero14%fair 7.13 · @4.33
2.46Expected goals
1.79Mornar xG
0.67Jezero xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–08%
From our goals model: Mornar 1.8 – 0.7 Jezero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mornar to win
65%
1.53
1.65 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.89
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Mornar ahead at half-time
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
15%
6.53
–
Form
Mornar – last 6
WWWDLD
15 Mar
vs Buducnost Podgorica
3–0
W
11 Mar
@ Bokelj
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs Mladost DG
3–0
W
25 Feb
@ Dečić
0–0
D
21 Feb
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
14 Feb
@ Sutjeska
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jezero – last 5
LLDDL
15 Mar
@ Mladost DG
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Dečić
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Sutjeska
1–1
D
25 Feb
vs Bokelj
1–1
D
21 Feb
@ Petrovac
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mornar and Jezero.
Our pick is Mornar to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Mornar vs Jezero?
On our numbers Mornar have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jezero 14%.
How many goals will there be in Mornar vs Jezero?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mornar vs Jezero?
Our predicted score is Mornar 1–0 Jezero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Mornar vs Jezero?
Mornar vs Jezero (First League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Topolica.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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