Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat preview and prediction
The match
Mladost DG host Arsenal Tivat in the First League on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 19:30 (WAT) at DG Arena. Mladost DG are 9th with 12 points from 15 games (in the bottom three), while Arsenal Tivat sit 10th on 9 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Mladost DG's last 5: WLLWD Most recently they beat Jezero 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Arsenal Tivat's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Bokelj 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Mladost DG and 1.2 for Arsenal Tivat. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Mladost DG 40%, draw 26%, Arsenal Tivat 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 57% chance at odds of 2.00, above our fair price of 1.76, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Mladost DG 1–1 Arsenal Tivat. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Mladost DG40%fair 2.48 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.80
Arsenal Tivat34%fair 2.95 · @2.80
2.60Expected goals
1.37Mladost DG xG
1.23Arsenal Tivat xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Mladost DG 1.4 – 1.2 Arsenal Tivat expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mladost DG to win
40%
2.48
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.76
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.36
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mladost DG / FT Mladost DG
23%
4.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
10%
9.84
–
Form
Mladost DG – last 6
WLLWDD
15 Mar
vs Jezero
3–1
W
11 Mar
@ Petrovac
1–3
L
1 Mar
@ Mornar
0–3
L
25 Feb
vs Jedinstvo
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Bokelj
0–0
D
14 Feb
vs Grbalj
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Arsenal Tivat – last 5
WLLWW
15 Mar
vs Bokelj
1–0
W
11 Mar
@ Sutjeska
1–4
L
1 Mar
@ Petrovac
0–1
L
25 Feb
vs Buducnost Podgorica
1–0
W
21 Feb
@ Mornar
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mladost DG and Arsenal Tivat.
What is the prediction for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
On our numbers Mladost DG have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Arsenal Tivat 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
Our predicted score is Mladost DG 1–1 Arsenal Tivat, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat?
Mladost DG vs Arsenal Tivat (First League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at DG Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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