Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Dečić to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultDečić to win60% · @1.85
Double chanceDečić or draw85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score52% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–014% · fair 7.40
Dečić vs Bokelj preview and prediction
The match
Dečić host Bokelj in the First League on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Tusko. Dečić are 5th with 21 points from 14 games (in the top half), while Bokelj sit 6th on 19 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Dečić's last 5: LWDDW Most recently they lost to Sutjeska 1–2 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Bokelj's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Arsenal Tivat 0–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Dečić arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.6 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Dečić and 0.8 for Bokelj. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Dečić 60%, draw 25%, Bokelj 15%.
Safer route: Dečić or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Dečić to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Dečić or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Dečić 1–0 Bokelj. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Dečić60%fair 1.68 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 3.96 · @2.88
Bokelj15%fair 6.59 · @4.00
2.58Expected goals
1.78Dečić xG
0.80Bokelj xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Dečić 1.8 – 0.8 Bokelj expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dečić to win
60%
1.68
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Dečić or draw
85%
1.18
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
74%
1.35
–
Half-time result
Dečić ahead at half-time
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dečić / FT Dečić
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
14%
7.40
–
Form
Dečić – last 5
LWDDW
15 Mar
vs Sutjeska
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Jezero
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Buducnost Podgorica
0–0
D
25 Feb
vs Mornar
0–0
D
21 Feb
@ Jedinstvo
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Bokelj – last 5
LLLDD
15 Mar
@ Arsenal Tivat
0–1
L
11 Mar
vs Mornar
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Jedinstvo
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ Jezero
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Mladost DG
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
1.6Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dečić and Bokelj.
Our pick is Dečić or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Dečić vs Bokelj?
On our numbers Dečić have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Bokelj 15%.
How many goals will there be in Dečić vs Bokelj?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dečić vs Bokelj?
Our predicted score is Dečić 1–0 Bokelj, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Dečić vs Bokelj?
Dečić vs Bokelj (First League) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Tusko.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Jedinstvo0