Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Start to win @ 1.91 – our chance 60% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultStart to win ✗60% · @1.91
Double chanceStart or draw ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Start vs Ham-Kam preview and prediction
The match
Ham-Kam travel to Sør Arena in the Eliteserien on Sunday 11 October (16:00 WAT) to face Start. Start are 16th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Ham-Kam sit 11th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Start's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Raufoss 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Ham-Kam's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Tromso 2–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Start arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.1 for Start and 1.2 for Ham-Kam. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Start 60%, draw 20%, Ham-Kam 20%.
Safer route: Start or draw (80%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.55.
Value angle: Start to win at 1.91 – 60% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Start or draw – a 80% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Start 2–1 Ham-Kam. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Start60%fair 1.67 · @1.91
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.60
Ham-Kam20%fair 4.97 · @3.40
3.31Expected goals
2.14Start xG
1.17Ham-Kam xG
64%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Start 2.1 – 1.2 Ham-Kam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Start to win✗
60%
1.67
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Start or draw✗
80%
1.25
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
–
Half-time result
Start ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Start / FT Start✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.22
–
Form
Start – last 6
WLWWLW
6 Oct
@ Raufoss
5–1
W
20 Sep
@ Sandefjord
0–3
L
16 Sep
@ Vindbjart
3–2
W
13 Sep
vs Brann
2–0
W
4 Sep
@ Aalesund
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs KFUM Oslo
4–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ham-Kam – last 6
LWLLDW
20 Sep
@ Tromso
2–3
L
16 Sep
@ Kjelsås
2–0
W
13 Sep
vs Molde
1–5
L
5 Sep
@ Rosenborg
0–4
L
30 Aug
vs Kristiansund BK
2–2
D
23 Aug
@ Trysil FK
5–0
W
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Start and Ham-Kam.
Our pick is Start or draw with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Start vs Ham-Kam?
On our numbers Start have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Ham-Kam 20%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Ham-Kam?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Ham-Kam?
Our predicted score is Start 2–1 Ham-Kam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Start vs Ham-Kam?
Start vs Ham-Kam (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sør Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
