Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✗51% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.64
Lillestrom vs Molde preview and prediction
The match
Lillestrom host Molde in the Eliteserien on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Åråsen Stadion. Lillestrom are 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while Molde sit 5th on 44 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Bærum 5–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Molde's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Kristiansund BK 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.3 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Molde arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 2.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 6 April 2026, finished Molde 0–1 Lillestrom.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.3 for Lillestrom and 1.8 for Molde. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score in 66% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Lillestrom 30%, draw 19%, Molde 51%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Lillestrom 1–1 Molde. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lillestrom30%fair 3.31 · @3.00
Draw19%fair 5.20 · @3.75
Molde51%fair 1.98 · @2.05
3.17Expected goals
1.35Lillestrom xG
1.82Molde xG
66%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.3 – 1.8 Molde expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lillestrom vs Molde?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Molde 51%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs Molde?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Molde?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 Molde, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs Molde?
Lillestrom vs Molde (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Åråsen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
