Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.64
Fredrikstad vs Tromso preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Fredrikstad take on Tromso on Sunday 11 October, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Fredrikstad Stadion. Fredrikstad are 12th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Tromso sit 6th on 40 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Fredrikstad's last 5: DWDLW Most recently they drew with Valerenga 1–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Tromso's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat Ham-Kam 3–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 3 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Fredrikstad arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Tromso 4–0 Fredrikstad.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Fredrikstad and 1.5 for Tromso. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 63% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.59, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fredrikstad36%fair 2.74 · @2.75
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Tromso40%fair 2.53 · @2.40
3.00Expected goals
1.46Fredrikstad xG
1.54Tromso xG
63%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Fredrikstad 1.5 – 1.5 Tromso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Fredrikstad vs Tromso?
On our numbers Fredrikstad have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tromso 40%.
How many goals will there be in Fredrikstad vs Tromso?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fredrikstad vs Tromso?
Our predicted score is Fredrikstad 1–1 Tromso, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Fredrikstad vs Tromso?
Fredrikstad vs Tromso (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Fredrikstad Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.