Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalesund to win ✗40% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.69
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF preview and prediction
The match
Aalesund host Sarpsborg 08 FF in the Eliteserien on Sunday 11 October, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Color Line Stadion. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Sarpsborg 08 FF sit 9th on 31 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: WDLWL Most recently they beat Molde 2–1 away. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 5: WLDDD Most recently they beat Follo 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.6 for Aalesund and 1.5 for Sarpsborg 08 FF. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 61% and both teams to score at 67%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund40%fair 2.49 · @2.40
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Sarpsborg 08 FF37%fair 2.69 · @2.60
3.14Expected goals
1.60Aalesund xG
1.54Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
67%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
0–17%
2–27%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.6 – 1.5 Sarpsborg 08 FF expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalesund to win✗
40%
2.49
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.49
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.59
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalesund / FT Aalesund✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.69
–
Form
Aalesund – last 6
WDLWLW
19 Sep
@ Molde
2–1
W
16 Sep
@ Førde
2–2
D
13 Sep
@ KFUM Oslo
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Start
2–0
W
30 Aug
@ Viking
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Langevag
13–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 6
WLDDDW
30 Sep
@ Follo
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs KFUM Oslo
1–3
L
13 Sep
@ Fredrikstad
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Valerenga
2–2
D
30 Aug
@ Tromso
0–0
D
22 Aug
@ Sparta Sarpsborg
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Sarpsborg 08 FF.
What is the prediction for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sarpsborg 08 FF 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Sarpsborg 08 FF, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF?
Aalesund vs Sarpsborg 08 FF (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
