The Eliteserien sees Tromso take on Aalesund on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 16:00 (WAT) at Alfheim. Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Aalesund sit 15th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tromso's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Brann 0–5 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Aalesund's last 5: WLLWL Most recently they beat Brann 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Tromso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.3 for Tromso and 0.8 for Aalesund. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tromso 69%, draw 20%, Aalesund 10%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Tromso to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Tromso 2–0 Aalesund. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso69%fair 1.44 · @1.44
Draw20%fair 4.92 · @4.50
Aalesund10%fair 9.79 · @6.80
3.05Expected goals
2.26Tromso xG
0.79Aalesund xG
56%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tromso 2.3 – 0.8 Aalesund expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✗
69%
1.44
1.44
Double chance
Tromso or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
Tromso ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso✗
47%
2.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.24
–
Form
Tromso – last 6
LWDWWW
29 Apr
vs Brann
0–5
L
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Rosenborg
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Brann
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Fredrikstad
4–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aalesund – last 6
WLLWLW
20 May
vs Brann
2–1
W
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Viking
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Egersund
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Aalesund.
Our pick is Tromso to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Tromso vs Aalesund?
On our numbers Tromso have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Aalesund 10%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Aalesund?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Aalesund?
Our predicted score is Tromso 2–0 Aalesund, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Aalesund?
Tromso vs Aalesund (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
