Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultValerenga to win ✗48% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Start vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Start take on Valerenga on Monday 25 May, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Sparebanken Sør Arena. Start are 16th with 19 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Start's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to BodoGlimt 1–4 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Valerenga's last 5: LLLDW Most recently they lost to Ham-Kam 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Valerenga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Start and 1.7 for Valerenga. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Start 32%, draw 20%, Valerenga 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.48.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Start 1–1 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Start32%fair 3.12 · @2.90
Draw20%fair 4.96 · @3.70
Valerenga48%fair 2.09 · @2.20
3.13Expected goals
1.38Start xG
1.75Valerenga xG
65%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Start 1.4 – 1.7 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Valerenga to win✗
48%
2.09
2.20 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.55
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Valerenga / FT Valerenga✗
28%
3.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Form
Start – last 6
LLDLLL
20 May
vs BodoGlimt
1–4
L
30 Apr
@ BodoGlimt
0–5
L
6 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
15 Mar
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Sandefjord
2–3
L
24 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LLLDWW
8 May
@ Ham-Kam
0–1
L
26 Apr
@ Molde
1–5
L
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Start and Valerenga.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Start vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Start have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Valerenga 48%.
How many goals will there be in Start vs Valerenga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Start vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Start 1–1 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Start vs Valerenga?
Start vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Sparebanken Sør Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
