Value bet: Sandefjord to win @ 1.91 – our chance 65% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSandefjord to win ✗65% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.73
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad preview and prediction
The match
Sandefjord host Fredrikstad in the Eliteserien on Monday 25 May, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Jotun Arena. Sandefjord are 13th with 28 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Fredrikstad sit 12th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Sandefjord's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat KFUM Oslo 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Fredrikstad's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5. They average 1.5 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sandefjord arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Sandefjord and 0.9 for Fredrikstad. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 58%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Sandefjord to win at 1.91 – 65% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Sandefjord 2–0 Fredrikstad. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sandefjord65%fair 1.54 · @1.91
Draw14%fair 6.92 · @3.75
Fredrikstad20%fair 4.90 · @3.60
2.82Expected goals
1.93Sandefjord xG
0.90Fredrikstad xG
58%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: Sandefjord 1.9 – 0.9 Fredrikstad expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sandefjord to win✗
65%
1.54
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
86%
1.17
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.55
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.48
Half-time result
Sandefjord ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sandefjord / FT Sandefjord✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.73
–
Form
Sandefjord – last 6
WDLLWW
7 Apr
@ KFUM Oslo
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Valerenga
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Start
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Ranheim
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fredrikstad – last 6
LLWWLL
9 May
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–2
L
19 Apr
@ Kristiansund BK
0–2
L
7 Apr
@ Aalesund
3–2
W
22 Mar
vs KFUM Oslo
3–1
W
19 Mar
@ KFUM Oslo
2–3
L
15 Mar
@ Tromso
0–4
L
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sandefjord and Fredrikstad.
What is the prediction for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
On our numbers Sandefjord have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Fredrikstad 20%.
How many goals will there be in Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
Our predicted score is Sandefjord 2–0 Fredrikstad, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad?
Sandefjord vs Fredrikstad (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Jotun Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
