Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultLillestrom to win ✗44% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.19
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom preview and prediction
The match
Lillestrom travel to Briskeby Arena in the Eliteserien on Monday 25 May (16:00 WAT) to face Ham-Kam. Ham-Kam are 11th with 30 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Lillestrom sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Ham-Kam's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Valerenga 1–0 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 1 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Lillestrom's last 5: LLWDW Most recently they lost to Kristiansund BK 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Ham-Kam arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Ham-Kam and 1.6 for Lillestrom. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations.
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Ham-Kam 1–1 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Ham-Kam35%fair 2.83 · @3.00
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.60
Lillestrom44%fair 2.26 · @2.15
2.94Expected goals
1.37Ham-Kam xG
1.57Lillestrom xG
65%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ham-Kam 1.4 – 1.6 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lillestrom to win✗
44%
2.26
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.55
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.45
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lillestrom / FT Lillestrom✗
25%
3.98
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.19
–
Form
Ham-Kam – last 6
WWLWWL
8 May
vs Valerenga
1–0
W
19 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
4–0
W
6 Apr
vs Brann
1–5
L
1 Mar
vs Lyn
4–0
W
25 Feb
@ Haugesund
2–0
W
18 Feb
@ Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LLWDWL
20 May
vs Kristiansund BK
1–2
L
10 May
@ Rosenborg
0–2
L
3 May
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
4–0
W
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ham-Kam and Lillestrom.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Ham-Kam have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Lillestrom 44%.
How many goals will there be in Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Ham-Kam 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom?
Ham-Kam vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 25 May 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Briskeby Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
