Value bet: Lillestrom to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultBodoGlimt to win45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score68% · @1.36
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.20
Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt preview and prediction
The match
Lillestrom host BodoGlimt in the Eliteserien on Sunday 26 April, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT). Lillestrom are 4th with 45 points from 26 games (in the top four), while BodoGlimt sit 2nd on 62 points (in the top four). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: DWLWD Most recently they drew with Tromso 0–0 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
BodoGlimt's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with KFUM Oslo 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
BodoGlimt arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 1.4 for Lillestrom and 1.6 for BodoGlimt. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score in 68% of our simulations.
Value angle: Lillestrom to win at 3.20 – 36% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 68% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: Lillestrom 1–1 BodoGlimt. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Lillestrom36%fair 2.78 · @3.20
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @3.95
BodoGlimt45%fair 2.22 · @2.00
3.07Expected goals
1.43Lillestrom xG
1.64BodoGlimt xG
68%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Lillestrom 1.4 – 1.6 BodoGlimt expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
BodoGlimt to win
45%
2.22
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.21
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.58
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
58%
1.73
1.80
Half-time result
Level at half-time
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT BodoGlimt / FT BodoGlimt
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.20
–
Form
Lillestrom – last 6
DWLWDL
15 Apr
@ Tromso
0–0
D
6 Apr
@ Molde
1–0
W
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Kongsvinger
2–4
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
BodoGlimt – last 6
DDWLWW
22 Apr
vs KFUM Oslo
1–1
D
15 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–1
D
6 Apr
@ Kristiansund BK
3–0
W
17 Mar
@ Sporting CP
0–3
L
11 Mar
vs Sporting CP
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Molde
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lillestrom and BodoGlimt.
What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
On our numbers Lillestrom have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 19% and BodoGlimt 45%.
How many goals will there be in Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Our predicted score is Lillestrom 1–1 BodoGlimt, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt?
Lillestrom vs BodoGlimt (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
