Value bet: Kristiansund BK to win @ 3.25 – our chance 37% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAalesund to win42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.56
Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK preview and prediction
The match
Kristiansund BK travel to Color Line Stadion in the Eliteserien on Sunday 26 April (16:00 WAT) to face Aalesund. Aalesund are 15th with 24 points from 26 games (in the bottom three), while Kristiansund BK sit 14th on 26 points (in the bottom three). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Aalesund's last 5: LLWLW Most recently they lost to Brann 1–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Kristiansund BK's last 5: WLWWD Most recently they beat Fredrikstad 2–0 at home. They average 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Kristiansund BK arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 1.7 for Aalesund and 1.6 for Kristiansund BK. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 62% and both teams to score at 66%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Aalesund 42%, draw 21%, Kristiansund BK 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.48.
Value angle: Kristiansund BK to win at 3.25 – 37% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Aalesund42%fair 2.37 · @2.00
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.80
Kristiansund BK37%fair 2.73 · @3.25
3.24Expected goals
1.68Aalesund xG
1.55Kristiansund BK xG
66%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–07%
0–16%
From our goals model: Aalesund 1.7 – 1.6 Kristiansund BK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aalesund to win
42%
2.37
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win
79%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
66%
1.51
1.48
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
82%
1.22
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
62%
1.62
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aalesund / FT Aalesund
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.56
–
Form
Aalesund – last 6
LLWLWL
22 Apr
@ Brann
1–2
L
7 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
18 Mar
@ Viking
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Lillestrom
1–3
L
9 Mar
@ Egersund
3–2
W
22 Feb
vs Fredrikstad
2–3
L
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Kristiansund BK – last 5
WLWWD
19 Apr
vs Fredrikstad
2–0
W
6 Apr
vs BodoGlimt
0–3
L
15 Mar
vs Brann
3–2
W
18 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
2–1
W
15 Feb
vs Egersund
1–1
D
1.6Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Aalesund and Kristiansund BK.
What is the prediction for Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?
On our numbers Aalesund have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kristiansund BK 37%.
How many goals will there be in Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?
Our predicted score is Aalesund 1–1 Kristiansund BK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK?
Aalesund vs Kristiansund BK (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Color Line Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
