Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultTromso to win62% · @1.53
Double chanceTromso or draw83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–016% · fair 6.19
Tromso vs Sandefjord preview and prediction
The match
Sandefjord travel to Romssa Arena in the Eliteserien on Sunday 26 April (16:00 WAT) to face Tromso. Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Sandefjord sit 13th on 28 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Tromso's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.2 conceded. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sandefjord's last 5: WDLLW Most recently they beat KFUM Oslo 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Tromso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Tromso and 0.7 for Sandefjord. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Under 2.5 goals at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.42, above our fair price of 1.37, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tromso 1–0 Sandefjord. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso62%fair 1.61 · @1.53
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.10
Sandefjord17%fair 5.79 · @5.80
2.31Expected goals
1.63Tromso xG
0.68Sandefjord xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Tromso 1.6 – 0.7 Sandefjord expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win
62%
1.61
1.53
Double chance
Tromso or draw
83%
1.21
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
53%
1.90
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
2.10 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso
37%
2.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
16%
6.19
–
Form
Tromso – last 6
WDWWWD
19 Apr
@ Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0
W
15 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
6 Apr
vs Rosenborg
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Brann
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Fredrikstad
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sandefjord – last 6
WDLLWW
7 Apr
@ KFUM Oslo
2–1
W
27 Mar
@ Stromsgodset
2–2
D
22 Mar
vs Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Valerenga
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Start
3–2
W
2 Mar
vs Ranheim
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Sandefjord.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Tromso vs Sandefjord?
On our numbers Tromso have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sandefjord 17%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Sandefjord?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Sandefjord?
Our predicted score is Tromso 1–0 Sandefjord, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Sandefjord?
Tromso vs Sandefjord (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Romssa Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
