Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.95Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMolde to win ✓64% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.32
Molde vs Valerenga preview and prediction
The match
The Eliteserien sees Molde take on Valerenga on Sunday 26 April, kicking off at 13:30 (WAT) at Aker Stadion. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Valerenga sit 8th on 32 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Molde's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Lillestrom 0–1 at home. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Valerenga's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to Viking 0–1 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Valerenga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Molde and 0.9 for Valerenga. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde 64%, draw 13%, Valerenga 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Molde to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.95, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Molde 1–0 Valerenga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde64%fair 1.56 · @1.95
Draw13%fair 7.54 · @3.70
Valerenga23%fair 4.39 · @3.40
2.72Expected goals
1.82Molde xG
0.90Valerenga xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Molde 1.8 – 0.9 Valerenga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✓
64%
1.56
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
87%
1.15
1.22 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
65%
1.53
1.57
Half-time result
Molde ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.32
–
Form
Molde – last 3
LLD
6 Apr
vs Lillestrom
0–1
L
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Valerenga – last 6
LDWWWW
6 Apr
vs Viking
0–1
L
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Stromsgodset
4–3
W
27 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Valerenga.
Our pick is Molde to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Molde vs Valerenga?
On our numbers Molde have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Valerenga 23%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Valerenga?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Valerenga?
Our predicted score is Molde 1–0 Valerenga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Valerenga?
Molde vs Valerenga (Eliteserien) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
