Tromso host Rosenborg in the Eliteserien on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 18:15 (WAT) at Alfheim. Tromso are 6th with 40 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Rosenborg sit 3rd on 46 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tromso's last 5: WWDDW Most recently they beat Brann 2–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.6 scored and 0.4 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Rosenborg's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Valerenga 0–2 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Tromso arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Tromso and 0.8 for Rosenborg. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tromso 64%, draw 23%, Rosenborg 13%.
Safer route: Tromso or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tromso 2–0 Rosenborg. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tromso64%fair 1.56 · @1.53
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @4.10
Rosenborg13%fair 7.70 · @5.75
2.79Expected goals
1.99Tromso xG
0.80Rosenborg xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Tromso 2.0 – 0.8 Rosenborg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tromso to win✓
64%
1.56
1.53
Double chance
Tromso or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
1.40
Half-time result
Tromso ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tromso / FT Tromso✓
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.28
–
Form
Tromso – last 5
WWDDW
22 Mar
@ Brann
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Fredrikstad
4–0
W
27 Feb
vs Lillestrom
0–0
D
20 Feb
vs Viking
1–1
D
13 Feb
vs Bryne
1–0
W
1.6Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Rosenborg – last 5
LDLWW
22 Mar
vs Valerenga
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Bryne
2–2
D
27 Feb
vs Valerenga
0–1
L
24 Feb
vs Start
2–1
W
19 Feb
@ Ranheim
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tromso and Rosenborg.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tromso vs Rosenborg?
On our numbers Tromso have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rosenborg 13%.
How many goals will there be in Tromso vs Rosenborg?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tromso vs Rosenborg?
Our predicted score is Tromso 2–0 Rosenborg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Tromso vs Rosenborg?
Tromso vs Rosenborg (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 18:15 (West Africa Time) at Alfheim.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
