Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.55Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSarpsborg 08 FF to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceEither team to win ✗81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.44
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start preview and prediction
The match
Start travel to Sarpsborg Stadion in the Eliteserien on Monday 6 April (16:00 WAT) to face Sarpsborg 08 FF. Sarpsborg 08 FF are 9th with 31 points from 26 games (in the bottom half), while Start sit 16th on 19 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Sarpsborg 08 FF's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Sandefjord 2–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Start's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to KFUM Oslo 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Sarpsborg 08 FF arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 0.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 0.8 for Start. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 68% chance at odds of 1.55, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Start. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sarpsborg 08 FF62%fair 1.62 · @1.70
Draw19%fair 5.29 · @3.95
Start19%fair 5.17 · @4.33
2.55Expected goals
1.74Sarpsborg 08 FF xG
0.81Start xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Sarpsborg 08 FF 1.7 – 0.8 Start expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarpsborg 08 FF to win✗
62%
1.62
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.67
1.53
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.55
Half-time result
Sarpsborg 08 FF ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.37
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarpsborg 08 FF / FT Sarpsborg 08 FF✗
37%
2.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.44
–
Form
Sarpsborg 08 FF – last 3
WLW
22 Mar
@ Sandefjord
2–0
W
8 Mar
@ Fredrikstad
1–2
L
13 Feb
vs Ham-Kam
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Start – last 3
LLL
15 Mar
@ KFUM Oslo
0–2
L
8 Mar
@ Sandefjord
2–3
L
24 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Start.
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start?
On our numbers Sarpsborg 08 FF have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Start 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start?
Our predicted score is Sarpsborg 08 FF 1–0 Start, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start?
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Start (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Sarpsborg Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
