Molde host Lillestrom in the Eliteserien on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 16:00 (WAT) at Aker Stadion. Molde are 5th with 44 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Lillestrom sit 4th on 45 points (in the top four). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Lillestrom's last 5: LWDLW Most recently they lost to Orgryte IS 0–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.5 goals: 1.9 for Molde and 1.6 for Lillestrom. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Molde 46%, draw 19%, Lillestrom 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (69%) at 1.40.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: Molde 1–1 Lillestrom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Molde46%fair 2.19 · @2.15
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.80
Lillestrom35%fair 2.86 · @2.95
3.48Expected goals
1.87Molde xG
1.61Lillestrom xG
69%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–27%
2–27%
1–06%
3–15%
From our goals model: Molde 1.9 – 1.6 Lillestrom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Molde to win✗
46%
2.19
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.19
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.67
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.76
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Molde / FT Molde✗
27%
3.70
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Form
Molde – last 2
LD
5 Mar
vs BodoGlimt
1–2
L
17 Feb
vs Viking
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Lillestrom – last 6
LWDLWD
27 Mar
@ Orgryte IS
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Aalesund
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Tromso
0–0
D
24 Feb
vs Kongsvinger
2–4
L
17 Feb
vs Haugesund
7–1
W
13 Feb
vs Stromsgodset
4–4
D
2.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Molde and Lillestrom.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Molde vs Lillestrom?
On our numbers Molde have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lillestrom 35%.
How many goals will there be in Molde vs Lillestrom?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Molde vs Lillestrom?
Our predicted score is Molde 1–1 Lillestrom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Molde vs Lillestrom?
Molde vs Lillestrom (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Aker Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
