Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultViking to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.39
Valerenga vs Viking preview and prediction
The match
Valerenga host Viking in the Eliteserien on Monday 6 April, with kick-off at 13:30 (WAT) at Intility Arena. Valerenga are 8th with 32 points from 26 games (in the top half), while Viking sit 1st on 62 points (top of the table). A gap of 30 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Valerenga's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with IFK Goteborg 3–3 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Viking's last 4: WLDD Most recently they beat Haugesund 3–0 at home. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Valerenga arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Valerenga and 1.5 for Viking. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Valerenga 36%, draw 21%, Viking 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Valerenga 1–1 Viking. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Valerenga36%fair 2.77 · @2.88
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.75
Viking42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.95Expected goals
1.40Valerenga xG
1.54Viking xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Valerenga 1.4 – 1.5 Viking expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Viking to win✓
42%
2.36
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
80%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.57
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Viking / FT Viking✓
24%
4.13
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.39
–
Form
Valerenga – last 6
DWWWWW
27 Mar
vs IFK Goteborg
3–3
D
22 Mar
@ Rosenborg
2–0
W
15 Mar
vs Sandefjord
1–0
W
7 Mar
vs Stromsgodset
4–3
W
27 Feb
@ Rosenborg
1–0
W
21 Feb
vs KFUM Oslo
1–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Viking – last 4
WLDD
25 Mar
vs Haugesund
3–0
W
18 Mar
vs Aalesund
1–2
L
20 Feb
@ Tromso
1–1
D
17 Feb
@ Molde
2–2
D
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Valerenga and Viking.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Valerenga vs Viking?
On our numbers Valerenga have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Viking 42%.
How many goals will there be in Valerenga vs Viking?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Valerenga vs Viking?
Our predicted score is Valerenga 1–1 Viking, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Valerenga vs Viking?
Valerenga vs Viking (Eliteserien) kicks off on Monday 6 April 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Intility Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
