Value bet: Cancún to win @ 3.40 – our chance 33% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtlante FC to win ✗45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.75
Cancún vs Atlante FC preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Cancún take on Atlante FC on Sunday 12 April, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT).
Form guide
Cancún's last 5: WDDDW Most recently they beat Correcaminos Uat 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Atlante FC's last 5: WLWDW Most recently they beat Mineros de Zacatecas 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.2 for Cancún and 1.5 for Atlante FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Cancún 33%, draw 22%, Atlante FC 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Cancún to win at 3.40 – 33% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Cancún 1–1 Atlante FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cancún33%fair 3.05 · @3.40
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Atlante FC45%fair 2.21 · @2.12
2.66Expected goals
1.19Cancún xG
1.46Atlante FC xG
57%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
0–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.2 – 1.5 Atlante FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlante FC to win✗
45%
2.21
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlante FC / FT Atlante FC✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.75
–
Form
Cancún – last 6
WDDDWL
4 Apr
@ Correcaminos Uat
3–1
W
29 Mar
vs Tepatitlán
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Irapuato
2–2
D
15 Mar
vs CA La Paz
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Tapatío
2–1
W
1 Mar
vs CDS Tampico Madero
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Atlante FC – last 6
WLWDWD
5 Apr
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
3–1
W
28 Mar
@ Venados FC
1–4
L
22 Mar
vs Dorados
2–0
W
19 Mar
@ Tlaxcala
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
1 Mar
@ Leones Negros UDG
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and Atlante FC.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Cancún vs Atlante FC?
On our numbers Cancún have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atlante FC 45%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs Atlante FC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs Atlante FC?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 Atlante FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs Atlante FC?
Cancún vs Atlante FC (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Irapuato2