Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultTapatío to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.61
Tapatío vs Irapuato preview and prediction
The match
Irapuato travel to Estadio Akron in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 12 April (00:00 WAT) to face Tapatío.
Form guide
Tapatío's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Tlaxcala 3–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Irapuato's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat CA La Paz 3–1 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Tapatío and 1.5 for Irapuato. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tapatío 40%, draw 23%, Irapuato 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Tapatío 1–1 Irapuato. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tapatío40%fair 2.47 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.55
Irapuato37%fair 2.70 · @2.82
3.02Expected goals
1.55Tapatío xG
1.47Irapuato xG
65%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Tapatío 1.5 – 1.5 Irapuato expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tapatío to win✗
40%
2.47
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.55
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.42
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tapatío / FT Tapatío✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.61
–
Form
Tapatío – last 6
WLWLLD
8 Apr
vs Tlaxcala
3–0
W
30 Mar
@ Mineros de Zacatecas
1–2
L
23 Mar
vs Monarcas
2–1
W
14 Mar
@ Alebrijes de Oaxaca
3–4
L
7 Mar
vs Cancún
1–2
L
28 Feb
@ Correcaminos Uat
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Irapuato – last 6
WLDLWL
4 Apr
vs CA La Paz
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Monarcas
0–2
L
22 Mar
vs Cancún
2–2
D
14 Mar
@ Correcaminos Uat
1–2
L
8 Mar
vs Alebrijes de Oaxaca
6–2
W
26 Feb
vs Atlante FC
0–5
L
2.0Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tapatío and Irapuato.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Tapatío vs Irapuato?
On our numbers Tapatío have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Irapuato 37%.
How many goals will there be in Tapatío vs Irapuato?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tapatío vs Irapuato?
Our predicted score is Tapatío 1–1 Irapuato, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tapatío vs Irapuato?
Tapatío vs Irapuato (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Akron.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlante FC1