Value bet: Cancún to win @ 2.64 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCancún to win ✗43% · @2.64
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.71
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero preview and prediction
The match
Cancún host CDS Tampico Madero in the Liga De Expansión MX on Sunday 1 March, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT). Cancún are 5th with 25 points from 15 games (in the top half), while CDS Tampico Madero sit 14th on 15 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Cancún and 1.1 for CDS Tampico Madero. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 57%.
Value angle: Cancún to win at 2.64 – 43% on our numbers against 38% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Cancún 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Cancún43%fair 2.35 · @2.64
Draw24%fair 4.24 · @3.00
CDS Tampico Madero34%fair 2.96 · @2.78
2.43Expected goals
1.31Cancún xG
1.13CDS Tampico Madero xG
57%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Cancún 1.3 – 1.1 CDS Tampico Madero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cancún to win✗
43%
2.35
2.64 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cancún / FT Cancún✗
24%
4.25
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.71
–
Form
Cancún – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Mineros de Zacatecas
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
CDS Tampico Madero
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cancún and CDS Tampico Madero.
What is the prediction for Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
On our numbers Cancún have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and CDS Tampico Madero 34%.
How many goals will there be in Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Our predicted score is Cancún 1–1 CDS Tampico Madero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero?
Cancún vs CDS Tampico Madero (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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