Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMonarcas to win ✓61% · @1.75
Double chanceMonarcas or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05
Monarcas vs CA La Paz preview and prediction
The match
The Liga De Expansión MX sees Monarcas take on CA La Paz on Sunday 1 March, kicking off at 02:00 (WAT) at Estadio Morelos. Monarcas are 3rd with 26 points from 15 games (in the top four), while CA La Paz sit 1st on 30 points (top of the table).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.0 for Monarcas and 1.0 for CA La Paz. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 63%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monarcas 61%, draw 22%, CA La Paz 18%.
Safer route: Monarcas or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Monarcas or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Monarcas 2–1 CA La Paz. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monarcas61%fair 1.65 · @1.75
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @4.00
CA La Paz18%fair 5.70 · @4.00
3.06Expected goals
2.04Monarcas xG
1.02CA La Paz xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–010%
1–110%
1–010%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Monarcas 2.0 – 1.0 CA La Paz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monarcas to win✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Monarcas or draw✓
82%
1.21
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.60
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.67
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Half-time result
Monarcas ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monarcas / FT Monarcas✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.05
–
Form
Monarcas – last 2
WW
21 Feb
@ Dorados
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs Venados FC
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
CA La Paz
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monarcas and CA La Paz.
Our pick is Monarcas or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Monarcas vs CA La Paz?
On our numbers Monarcas have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CA La Paz 18%.
How many goals will there be in Monarcas vs CA La Paz?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monarcas vs CA La Paz?
Our predicted score is Monarcas 2–1 CA La Paz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Monarcas vs CA La Paz?
Monarcas vs CA La Paz (Liga De Expansión MX) kicks off on Sunday 1 March 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Morelos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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