One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise preview and prediction
The match
One Knoxville host Sarasota Paradise in the USL League One on Sunday 9 August, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Regal Stadium. One Knoxville are 6th with 54 points from 32 games (in the top half), while Sarasota Paradise sit 11th on 40 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
One Knoxville's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Charlotte Independence 1–3 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Sarasota Paradise's last 5: LDDLW Most recently they lost to Miami FC 0–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 5 April 2026, finished Sarasota Paradise 1–2 One Knoxville.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for One Knoxville and 0.9 for Sarasota Paradise. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: One Knoxville 60%, draw 21%, Sarasota Paradise 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.75.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: One Knoxville 2–0 Sarasota Paradise. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
One Knoxville60%fair 1.67 · @1.60
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @3.80
Sarasota Paradise19%fair 5.25 · @4.75
2.72Expected goals
1.82One Knoxville xG
0.90Sarasota Paradise xG
56%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: One Knoxville 1.8 – 0.9 Sarasota Paradise expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
On our numbers One Knoxville have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sarasota Paradise 19%.
How many goals will there be in One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
Our predicted score is One Knoxville 2–0 Sarasota Paradise, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise?
One Knoxville vs Sarasota Paradise (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Regal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
