Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Charlotte Independence to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.68 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.68Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCharlotte Independence to win ✓64% · @1.68
Double chanceCharlotte Independence or draw ✓86% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Charlotte Independence take on Greenville Triumph on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 00:00 (WAT) at American Legion Memorial Stadium. Charlotte Independence are 1st with 66 points from 32 games (top of the table), while Greenville Triumph sit 15th on 30 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 36 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Charlotte Independence's last 5: WWLLD Most recently they beat One Knoxville 3–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Greenville Triumph's last 5: DWLLL Most recently they drew with Portland Hearts of Pine 3–3 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 25 June 2026, finished Charlotte Independence 1–0 Greenville Triumph.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.3 for Charlotte Independence and 1.0 for Greenville Triumph. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 65% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Charlotte Independence 64%, draw 22%, Greenville Triumph 14%.
Safer route: Charlotte Independence or draw (86%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.45.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Charlotte Independence to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.68, above our fair price of 1.56, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Charlotte Independence 2–1 Greenville Triumph. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Charlotte Independence64%fair 1.56 · @1.68
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.95
Greenville Triumph14%fair 6.99 · @3.95
3.35Expected goals
2.30Charlotte Independence xG
1.05Greenville Triumph xG
65%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Charlotte Independence 2.3 – 1.0 Greenville Triumph expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Charlotte Independence to win✓
64%
1.56
1.68 ▲
Double chance
Charlotte Independence or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.45
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
65%
1.55
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.65
Half-time result
Charlotte Independence ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Charlotte Independence / FT Charlotte Independence✗
What is the prediction for Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Our pick is Charlotte Independence to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.68.
Who will win Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
On our numbers Charlotte Independence have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Greenville Triumph 14%.
How many goals will there be in Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Our predicted score is Charlotte Independence 2–1 Greenville Triumph, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph?
Charlotte Independence vs Greenville Triumph (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at American Legion Memorial Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
