Value bet: Boise to win @ 1.77 – our chance 61% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultBoise to win ✓61% · @1.77
Double chanceBoise or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.92
Boise vs Forward Madison preview and prediction
The match
The USL League One sees Boise take on Forward Madison on Sunday 9 August, kicking off at 02:30 (WAT). Boise are 3rd with 58 points from 32 games (in the top four), while Forward Madison sit 4th on 56 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Boise's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with Corpus Christi 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Forward Madison's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Westchester SC 2–0 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.2 goals a game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Forward Madison arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 2.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 14 June 2026, finished Forward Madison 5–1 Boise.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 2.0 for Boise and 0.9 for Forward Madison. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Boise 61%, draw 24%, Forward Madison 14%.
Safer route: Boise or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Boise to win at 1.77 – 61% on our numbers against 56% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Boise 2–0 Forward Madison. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Boise61%fair 1.64 · @1.77
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.60
Forward Madison14%fair 6.92 · @3.90
2.87Expected goals
1.98Boise xG
0.89Forward Madison xG
59%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Boise 2.0 – 0.9 Forward Madison expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Boise vs Forward Madison?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Boise vs Forward Madison?
On our numbers Boise have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Forward Madison 14%.
How many goals will there be in Boise vs Forward Madison?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boise vs Forward Madison?
Our predicted score is Boise 2–0 Forward Madison, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Boise vs Forward Madison?
Boise vs Forward Madison (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
