USL League One · USA · Lancaster Municipal StadiumAlta vs Fort Wayne prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Alta 1.4 – 1.4 Fort Wayne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Alta and Fort Wayne on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 38% for the visitors and 22% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Alta have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.5 per game. Fort Wayne have 6 points from their last 6 (2W 0D 4L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.4 for Alta, 1.4 for Fort Wayne). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 63%. Recent matches involving both teams have mostly gone over 2.5. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 1–0 (9%), 0–1 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, Alta have won 0, Fort Wayne have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 0.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Alta to win ✓ | 39% | 2.54 | 2.33 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 78% | 1.29 | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 63% | 1.59 | 1.50 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✓ | 54% | 1.85 | 1.65 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 67% | 1.49 | 1.45 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Alta / FT Alta ✓ | 22% | 4.57 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 9% | 11.26 | – |
Form
Alta – last 6
| 6 Aug | @ Naples | 1–2 | L |
| 2 Aug | @ Richmond Kickers | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Jul | vs Westchester SC | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Jul | @ One Knoxville | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | @ Chattanooga Red Wolves | 0–1 | L |
| 12 Jul | vs Phoenix Rising | 2–1 | W |
Fort Wayne – last 6
| 2 Aug | vs Union Omaha | 0–2 | L |
| 26 Jul | @ Spokane Velocity | 1–3 | L |
| 19 Jul | vs Greenville Triumph | 3–0 | W |
| 15 Jul | @ One Knoxville | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Jul | vs Detroit City | 1–2 | L |
| 5 Jul | vs Spokane Velocity | 3–0 | W |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Fort Wayne v Alta | 0–0 |
USL League One table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 32 | +28 | 66 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 32 | +20 | 62 |
| 3 |  Boise | 32 | +10 | 58 |
| 4 |  Forward Madison | 32 | +24 | 56 |
| 5 |  Spokane Velocity | 32 | +6 | 54 |
| 6 |  One Knoxville | 32 | +16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 32 | +6 | 47 |
| 8 |  Naples | 32 | -7 | 46 |
| 9 |  Fort Wayne | 32 | +5 | 45 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 32 | +4 | 40 |
| 11 |  Sarasota Paradise | 32 | -2 | 40 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 32 | -15 | 37 |
| 13 |  Alta | 32 | -8 | 34 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 32 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 |  Greenville Triumph | 32 | -23 | 30 |
| 16 |  NY Cosmos | 32 | -26 | 27 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 32 | -28 | 26 |
More USL League One predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Alta vs Fort Wayne?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Alta vs Fort Wayne?
On our numbers Alta have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fort Wayne 38%.
How many goals will there be in Alta vs Fort Wayne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
When is Alta vs Fort Wayne?
Alta vs Fort Wayne (USL League One) kicks off on Sunday 9 August 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Lancaster Municipal Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.