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USL Championship · USA · Cashman Field

Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗46% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 10.14

Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC preview and prediction

The match

Orange County SC travel to Cashman Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 21 June (03:30 WAT) to face Las Vegas Lights. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Birmingham Legion 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Orange County SC's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with New Mexico United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Orange County SC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.2 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Las Vegas Lights46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Orange County SC33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.50Las Vegas Lights xG
1.22Orange County SC xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%

From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.5 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLas Vegas Lights to win ✗46%2.182.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.621.60
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.931.77
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗70%1.431.36
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Las Vegas Lights / FT Las Vegas Lights ✗26%3.87–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10%10.14–

Form

Las Vegas Lights – last 6

WLDWLL
14 Jun@ Birmingham Legion2–1W
7 Junvs Oakland Roots0–2L
31 Mayvs FC Tulsa0–0D
24 Mayvs Colorado Springs2–0W
18 May@ Spokane Velocity0–1L
10 May@ New Mexico United1–3L
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Orange County SC – last 6

DLWLDL
14 Jun@ New Mexico United1–1D
7 Jun@ Alta1–2L
24 Mayvs Oakland Roots3–2W
17 May@ Phoenix Rising1–2L
9 May@ Colorado Springs2–2D
3 May@ Sacramento Republic2–3L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Mar 2026Orange County SC v Las Vegas Lights1–1
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC head-to-head page →

USL Championship table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1New Mexico United301578+1152
2Sacramento Republic3013125+1451
3El Paso Locomotive3015510+1050
4Lexington3014610+1848
5Colorado Springs301389+647
6San Antonio3011127+245
7FC Tulsa3011109+343
8Phoenix Rising30101010-140
9Orange County SC3010911-1039
10Oakland Roots3091110-138
11Las Vegas Lights3010614-736
12Monterey Bay306618-2024

More USL Championship predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?

On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Orange County SC 33%.

How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?

Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?

Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.