Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC preview and prediction
The match
Orange County SC travel to Cashman Field in the USL Championship on Sunday 21 June (03:30 WAT) to face Las Vegas Lights. Las Vegas Lights are 11th with 36 points from 30 games (in the bottom three), while Orange County SC sit 9th on 39 points (in the bottom half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Las Vegas Lights's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Birmingham Legion 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Orange County SC's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with New Mexico United 1–1 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 5. They average 1.7 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 8 March 2026, finished Orange County SC 1–1 Las Vegas Lights.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Las Vegas Lights and 1.2 for Orange County SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 62%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Las Vegas Lights 46%, draw 21%, Orange County SC 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (62%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Las Vegas Lights46%fair 2.18 · @2.15
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @3.40
Orange County SC33%fair 3.00 · @3.00
2.72Expected goals
1.50Las Vegas Lights xG
1.22Orange County SC xG
62%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–07%
1–27%
From our goals model: Las Vegas Lights 1.5 – 1.2 Orange County SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
On our numbers Las Vegas Lights have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Orange County SC 33%.
How many goals will there be in Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Our predicted score is Las Vegas Lights 1–1 Orange County SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC?
Las Vegas Lights vs Orange County SC (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 03:30 (West Africa Time) at Cashman Field.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.