Value bet: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win @ 2.95 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPittsburgh Riverhounds to win ✗40% · @2.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.50
Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds preview and prediction
The match
Pittsburgh Riverhounds travel to Trinity Health Stadium in the USL Championship on Sunday 21 June (00:00 WAT) to face Hartford Athletic. Hartford Athletic are 6th with 43 points from 30 games (in the top half), while Pittsburgh Riverhounds sit 5th on 45 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Hartford Athletic's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat Tampa Bay Rowdies 1–0 away. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pittsburgh Riverhounds's last 5: WWWLW Most recently they beat Indy Eleven 1–0 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.1 for Hartford Athletic and 1.2 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 55%.
Value angle: Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win at 2.95 – 40% on our numbers against 34% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Hartford Athletic 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Hartford Athletic36%fair 2.80 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.18 · @3.20
Pittsburgh Riverhounds40%fair 2.47 · @2.95
2.33Expected goals
1.12Hartford Athletic xG
1.22Pittsburgh Riverhounds xG
55%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–011%
0–010%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Hartford Athletic 1.1 – 1.2 Pittsburgh Riverhounds expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pittsburgh Riverhounds to win✗
40%
2.47
2.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.46
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.76
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pittsburgh Riverhounds / FT Pittsburgh Riverhounds✗
22%
4.58
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.50
–
Form
Hartford Athletic – last 6
WWDLWW
14 Jun
@ Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–0
W
7 Jun
@ NY Cosmos
4–1
W
31 May
vs New Mexico United
0–0
D
23 May
@ FC Tulsa
0–2
L
17 May
@ Brooklyn
2–0
W
10 May
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds – last 6
WWWLWW
14 Jun
vs Indy Eleven
1–0
W
31 May
vs Miami FC
2–0
W
10 May
@ Louisville City
2–0
W
3 May
vs Phoenix Rising
0–1
L
26 Apr
vs Greenville Triumph
3–0
W
19 Apr
vs Detroit City
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Hartford Athletic and Pittsburgh Riverhounds.
What is the prediction for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
On our numbers Hartford Athletic have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pittsburgh Riverhounds 40%.
How many goals will there be in Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Our predicted score is Hartford Athletic 1–1 Pittsburgh Riverhounds, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds?
Hartford Athletic vs Pittsburgh Riverhounds (USL Championship) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Trinity Health Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
FC Tulsa1
Colorado Springs2
Monterey Bay1
El Paso Locomotive0
Phoenix Rising3
Oakland Roots4
Las Vegas Lights2
Orange County SC3
Sacramento Republic0
New Mexico United1